THE JORDAN PETERSON ROAD SHOW

Jordan Peterson , Sam Harris and Douglas Murray will be doing a gig in London and Dublin in mid July 2018. Peterson who’s C4 interview with Kathy Newman has been watched by over 10 million people is the star of the show – and this , of course , is the point . Its show business folks !

I have watched Peterson and Murray for several years now as well as many other Youtubers but I have been watching them less and less in recent times and have come to the conclusion that they may be doing more harm than good.  Murray , to his credit has , if not defended the EDL then at least put them and their street protest movement in some sort of informed context but he is very much the exception and even he has a certain attitude towards working class people which I , as a working class person , find  offensive and indicative of prejudice on Murray’s part. But compared to the rest of them he is quite radical and serious and fair in his analysis of political events. But it really gets my goat when people like Dave Rubin speak of the creation of an intellectual elite of which he himself of course is a member.  Give me a woman like Anne Marie Waters any day of the week.

If I am looking for wisdom I will look to political parties such as the For Britain Movement and if I want to be entertained I will listen to Elvis.

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IS ANNE MARIE WATERS SPLITTING THE VOTE

Ever since Anne Marie Waters founded the For Britain Movement political party in late 2017 and more particularly since the recent Lewisham East by-election, more and more online voices can be heard asking if Anne Marie and For Britain are simply splitting the nationalist democratic vote. At a superficial glance it sounds like a reasonable question but of course the question also perhaps implies that they share a common aim or similar values. Are Anne Maire Waters and Gerrard Batten  two sides of the same political coin ?

At a FLA march in Birmingham in july 2018 Anne Marie stated ”  I have heard it all through the years….you will offend the moderates with your language……you will offend moderate muslims with your language……I don’t care if they are offended because I’m offended by female genital mutilation , I’m offended by child marriage and forced marriage and honour violence and all the other horrors that this religion is bringing to our society. I will say so and I don’t give a damn who is offended. If you join with me I will never back down “. At the same march Anne Marie stated ” For Britain was formed with one primary purpose in mind and that primary purpose is to tell the truth”.

There is no need to ask what Anne Marie Waters really stands for. It is as clear and as transparent as anything can be. We don’t have to read between the lines. We know exactly what we are voting for. But what about Gerard Batten ? Is it clear exactly what this man and his political party stand for ?.

In an interview with Tommy Robinson shown on Youtube Robinson , referring to Susan Evans , asked Batten if it was time to drain the UKIP swamp. He reminded Batten that Evans had spread the slander that he Robinson and Anne Marie Waters were racist bigots. Battens response was that different people had different opinions and more or less that was fine. In the same interview Batten repeats the same slander when the EDL are mentioned. Batten condemns the EDL and the good people they represents with the same contempt as any Labour Party apologist for Islam might display. And Gerard Batten understands that calling people racist can have fatal consequences. He understands better than most as the same charges and accusations have been made against him. But the real question here is what does Batten and UKIP stand for. Whatever it is it is very different to what Anne Marie is saying.

WORDS WORDS WORDS

It is a self-evident fact that the neo fascists (mulitculturalists) are winning the political and cultural war that we are now fighting. We have all but lost our freedom of speech and right of assembly. Our free press no longer exists and journalism is dead. Our population is being visibly replaced and in a blatant manner. Election / referendum results (the express will of the people) are no longer respected or accepted. Democracy as we used to understand it is a distant memory. The For Britain Movement political party is a response to this. But is the For Britain Movement responding in the right way ?

This war is to a large extent a war about language. Imagine for a moment how things would be if words such as ‘racist’ or ‘islamophobic’ simply did not exits. It is , I would argue , impossible to imagine things as they are now without these words. If these ‘shut up’ words did not exist the multicultural nightmare we are living through simply would not exist either. He who dictates the language dictates the narrative.  If we permit our enemy to dictate the words we use and even what those words mean then we have lost before we have even begun. Words are far more powerful than bullets. This is not some philosophical or abstract concept – this is a simple statement of fact. There is nothing more powerful than language. Nothing. The multicultural elites understand this and that is why they are winning. The people on our side, the side of democracy , do not understand this simple fact and that is most certainly why we are losing.

Every day of the week we see and hear people being refered to as ‘liberal’ who by any sane definition of that word are the polar opposite of liberal if not outright fascist or at least neo-fascist. Every day we hear our leaders constantly explaining that we / they are not fascist or racist or islamophobic which is of course exactly what the multiculturalist neo-fascist want them to do. Every day and in every conceivable way our leaders adopt the language of our enemies and in doing so unconsciously promote the narrative that our enemies want us to promote. And let us be very clear here – they ARE dictating the narrative.

 

BEYOND TERROR : ANNE MARIE WATERS

 

Anne Marie Waters new book , Beyond Terror , has just gone on sale in the last week. The book is available on Amazon but none of the major book shops or indeed any book shop seems to intend stocking it. Anne Marie and the For Britain Movement seem to have just accepted this which I believe is a great mistake. If you intend buying it then go to your local bookshop first. If they refuse to order it for you explain to them that you will not give them your custom in the future and that you will advise your family and friends to do likewise. If they do refuse please let me know and I can create a data base of such book shops. Most book shops in the UK and Ireland are more than happy to stock or order Mein Kampf or the Communist Manifesto after all. There is no ban on this book so there is nothing to stop any shop ordering it for you. And there is no law against organising a boycott or campaign to encourage people not to support a shop which refuses to serve you in this matter.

If you let people walk over you then they probably will. And if your local book shop is not up to date in regard to fire or safety standards ( and you would be surprised at the number of shops who are really carless in such matters ) then it is your duty to report them. If any book shop feel they need to protect their customers against For Britain then you can act with equal concern for your community by making sure that they in turn comply with ALL the appropriate regulations that might apply to their business.  The reason many shops will not stock Anne Marie’s book is they are afraid of the consequences. Think about that. Presumably they feel that the For Britain Movement political party is not going to make a fuss and maybe they are right.

You will find a good review of the book the Oyia Brown blog.

 

 

 

BREXIT RALLY LONDON 23/6/2018

I have just been watching this Brexit rally on Youtube. There , out in front , is Gerard Batten at the head of the march shaking hands with the people and looking every inch the leader. But where is Anne Marie ?  UKIP flags flutter in the breeze behind Batten but nothing with the name of the For Britain Movement on it. It is all too familiar and getting to be a habit. Batten knows how to capitalise on this  upsurge of popular discontent. He does it well. He is not the kind of man to let the grass grow under his feet. He stands at the front – like a man who knows his place and takes it. But where is Anne Marie ?

Batten is doing everything right. He is the consummate politician. He knows all the tricks and does not miss a single one. He grabs with both hands every opportunity that presents itself and milks it for everything its worth and it is working.  He is winning people over. People are being taken in by this man. He is intelligent , competent and cynical. It is sickening to watch him feed off the anger of the ordinary people of britain. UKIP will sell them out in a heartbeat and not hesitate to call them fascists and racists when they feel it to be in their political interest.  They have done it to Anne Marie and to every decent person who ever was associated with the EDL. It is , as Anne Maire herself has said , nauseating to watch how Batten and UKIP have embraced Tommy Robinson – a man they were more than happy to condemn as a racist and fascist untill they saw which way the wind was blowing.

Gerard Batten is a real problem for Anne Marie Waters and her For Britain Movement. People who might have been expected to join For Britain are now looking to Batten for leadership. Every time I go on Youtube or social media I hear more and more people say that Batten is the man. He , they believe , is the only one speaking out bravely  against Islam and the mainstream. People are gullible and Batten knows how to capitalise on their gullibility. It is a sad fact that people , ordinary people , are often easily taken in. The history and ongoing success and popularity of the Labour Party is living proof of that. And for some reason or other people seems to like Batten.

Batten is intelligent but he is by no means exceptional. He is clever but behind it all he is a political lightweight. He would never have made it to the top in any of the mainstream parties. He is a big fish in a little pond. Personally I don’t rate him at all. But in the land of the blind , not to mention the stupid , Batten is king. Anne Marie seems to be concentrating her attention on building up the branches which is the right thing to do and she seems to be doing it very well but she is letting others take the initiative and often in a very public way as we all saw in Lewisham East and as we saw today. Anne Marie is very effective when she goes on the attack and she needs to meet the challange that Batten presents head on.

GERARD BATTEN’S NEW MEN

Three prominent Youtubers , Sargon of Akkad , Paul Joseph Watson and Count Dankula have very publicly joined UKIP. Between them they have a nominal 2,300,000 followers however when you factor in everything the actual number is probably closer to 1 million which is still a substantial figure. This means that appx. 1 million people will hear a constant flow of positive things about UKIP and some level of negative things about the  For Britain Movement particularly in reference to splitting the vote.

Gerard Batten , an intelligent and practical man has , it seems , chosen not to look this gift horse in the mouth. He will be aware of course that this could backfire on him and his party – the three Youtubers in question all have quite a caustic if not sarcastic tone which is not to the taste of everyone. You either love these guy or hate them , there really is no middle ground here. While this influx of prominent Youtubers into UKIP is not a disaster for the fledgling For Britain Movement it is not something that Anne Marie will be dancing in the street about………..unless of course  it all starts going pear-shaped which it may well do. The fact that Batten was appointed interim leader of UKIP has not helped Anne Marie. If even half of the anecdotal evidence is true then Batten is doing quite a good job of getting UKIP back in the political race. He has brought them back for the brink of bankruptcy and stemmed the exodus of its members and if the comments on Youtube are anything to go by he is certainly winning people over. If this move by these three Youtube personalities works out well – or even starts a trend – then it will , at the least , put Anne Marie Waters under a lot of pressure. The road ahead would have been much smoother and promising if Henry Bolton was still fumbling about at the head of UKIP.  Luck , or at least the absence of bad luck is vital.

And if all this was not enough Anne Marie compounded matters when in the run up to the Lewisham East By-election she told a large audience that Stand Up To Racism would not stop her from speaking at the Lewisham East hustings which they then promptly did.

I respect Gerard Batten’s obvious intelligence and ability. He is not the kind of man who makes mistakes but having said that I don’t think he would make a good poker player and right now he is playing that game . The three men he has accepted into his party are not a natural fit for UKIP. They are the sort of men who are best kept at arms length. They are complicated men and it is not an accident that they are in the business that they are in. They are very good at what they do but it is definatly a strange sort of business……..and as we all know , there are a lot of strange people out there.

PS.  No sooner had I finish writing this than I discovered that Sargon of Akkad had just been expelled from UKIP before he had actually joined.  ‘Something to do with the “N” word. PPS. Update. Sargon of Akkad has been accepted into UKIP in spite of the”N” word  as has Milo Yiannopoulos. 26/6/18.

 

 

POPULATION PROJECTIONS: IRISH CENTRAL STATISTICS OFFICE.

The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has today (20 June 2018) released the Population and Labour Force Projections 2017-2051 report. Commenting on the report, James Hegarty Statistician said: “Ireland’s population, which stood at 4.74 million in April 2016, is projected to reach 6.69 million in 2051 (a rise of just under two million persons) if there is high net inward migration and high fertility. Even with low net inward migration and declining fertility, Ireland’s population is still expected to reach 5.58 million in 2051.”
The report presents six population projections under contrasting scenarios for each year from 2017 to 2051 and three labour force projections are presented up to 2031. Mr. Hegarty explained. “The report is not an attempt to predict the future but rather presents how the population could evolve under different scenarios. By making assumptions about future trends in mortality, migration and fertility, we can project the population forward and examine the possible outcomes for demographic groups such as the school-going population, the working-age population and the elderly.”

Primary school-going population (ages 5 – 12) set to decrease from the year 2021 to 2031
The number of primary school-aged children is projected to increase from its 2016 level of 548,100 to between 555,500 and 562,000 by 2021. Thereafter, the number of primary school pupils is expected to fall to between 510,900 and 457,600 by 2031. This represents decreases of between 6.8% and 16.5% on the 2016 figure of 548,100. In 2051, there will be between 453,900 and 607,600 primary school-aged children, depending on the scenario chosen.

Children of secondary school age (13 – 18) set to increase to the year 2026
The secondary school-aged population is projected to increase by between 67,300 and 75,700 persons by 2026 depending on the assumption used, equating to increases of between 18.2% and 20.5% on the 2016 level of 369,900 persons. By 2051, there will be between 330,300 and 439,600 secondary school-aged children.

Substantial rises in the older population
The CSO publication reveals that, irrespective of the combination of assumptions used, there will be between 1.5 and 1.6 million persons aged 65 years and over by 2051, compared with 629,800 in 2016. Therefore, while around 13.3% of the population was aged 65 years and older in 2016, this will rise to between 23.9% and 27.4% in 2051.

The number of persons aged 80 years and over is projected to rise from 147,800 in 2016 to between 535,900 (+262.6%) and 549,000 (+271.4%) in 2051, depending on the scenario chosen.

Labour force growth set to continue
Assuming net inward migration of 10,000 people annually (M3), the labour force is expected to grow from 2,338,600 persons in 2016 to 2,628,700 in 2031, or a rise of 12.4% over the period.
With the more optimistic M2 scenario there is a rise of 397,800 (+17.0%) to a labour force of 2,736,400 persons in 2031 while the most optimistic scenario M1 has a rise of just over half a million (504,300 persons or +21.6%) to 2,842,900. These equate to annual labour force increases of approximately 33,600 under M1, some 26,500 under M2 and 19,300 persons under M3.
Mr. Hegarty concluded: “The CSO are assisted in this work by an Expert Group consisting of representatives of government departments, as well as the universities and other relevant bodies, and we would like to put on record our appreciation for their time on this work”.
Editor’s Note:
The following is a summary of the assumptions underlying the projections:
The high fertility assumption (F1) envisages the Total Fertility Rate (TFR), remaining at the 2016 level of 1.8 for the lifetime of the projections. The low assumption (F2) would see a decline in the TFR from its current level of 1.8 to 1.6 by 2031, remaining constant thereafter.
Life expectancy is assumed to increase from 2015 levels of 79.3 years for males to 85.6 years by 2051. The corresponding figures for females are 83.3 and 88.3 years.
The high migration scenario (M1) assumes annual net immigration of 30,000 over the projection period. Migration scenario (M2) assumes a more modest net inflow of 20,000 per annum to 2051. The third scenario (M3) assumes net inward migration of 10,000 for the entire period.
The labour force participation rates of males will recover to 2006 rates and there will be increases in the labour force participation rates of older males. The labour force participation rates of married and unmarried females will continue to converge while there will also be increases in the labour force participation rates of older females.
For further information contact:
James Hegarty (+353) 21 453 5429 or Caroline Barrett (+353) 21 453 5485
or email demography@cso.ie

Full report is availabe on the official CSO government website.